Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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Next French Presidential Election — Raphaël Glucksmann
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
read Sep 29, 07:21 PM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
338 holders · 781 comments · read Sep 26, 05:09 AM UTC
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Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 98% · best ask 98%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296691614037901759358822201019738747890245698909012092657780820261729371244775376
- lastminwin97531408855841405410232789703119036119573635076996943730887685044477538494161
- mignonpignon97531408855841405410232789703119036119573635076996943730887685044477538494161
- newbiereal97531408855841405410232789703119036119573635076996943730887685044477538494161
- tsihkodiives97531408855841405410232789703119036119573635076996943730887685044477538494161
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769 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- WhaleWatch-02684 · 13 hours ago
Tradman holds $13,755.64 on Marine Le Pen outcome Yes. Unrealized profit: $6,670.70. They turned $7,084.94 into over $13,755.64.
- martinreddot · yesterday
Amazing that she could even be candidate!
- Hot-Skull · yesterday
I think we have other more important problems
- Hot-Skull · yesterday
Pareil
- Giorgio2 · yesterday
I could fuck with Clemence Guette if asked to
- Fond-Killing · 2 days ago
I can't lie Lisnard is a great candidate. He has got confidence and quite literally he is the most articulate Presidential candidate. However, I am unable to support him as he does not endorse a policy to fully ban hijab in all public spaces. It's about time French people realize that hijabs are just as bad as burqas
- RoadtoSanary · 2 days ago
Parce que personne le connaît pour l'instant
- RoadtoSanary · 2 days ago
Lisnard a des chances de passer, il dit pas de la merde, il est en fort en débat, il a du charisme mais le problème est qu'il est pas assez connu
- WhaleWatch-17056 · 2 days ago
lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.
- Fond-Killing · 2 days ago
Don't worry about that at all. Le Pen is double digits ahead of both Melenchon and Phillipe in the first round. The second round worries be because tyrants like Islamists and white liberal women will form a bloc to vote against Le Pen.
- WhaleWatch-65063 · 2 days ago
lastminwin is up 9.34% on their $35,498.84 bet on Édouard Philippe with outcome No. Current value: $38,815.91. When you see returns like that, you pay attention.
- WhaleWatch-57678 · 2 days ago
flovertaco is currently one of the most profitable traders on Marine Le Pen with already $3,607.98 / +40.59% in total gains. Their position: $12,497.03 on outcome Yes. When the top earner doubles down, keep watching.
- Baggy-Lion · 2 days ago
I first was about to trash talk on you but its actually not a bad idea except if we all do that she might not go 2 round SO no thanks you, lets just make here pass first round
- Hot-Skull · 2 days ago
Lisnard ☺️
- Fond-Killing · 2 days ago
To all the French patriots out there. Please vote Melenchon in the first round to ensure that Le Pen and Melenchon gets paired in the second round. Even a dog can win against the Islamist Melenchon. If Édouard Phillipe advances to the second round, Le Pen could be in trouble as Phillipe will attract a sizeable portion of moderate voters.
- Warm-Supplier · 2 days ago
T'as la haine le gaucho ?
- Bouba0 · 2 days ago
New poll coming out Monday, Melenchon’s in the 2nd round at 20%, with LePen.
- perfectnostalgia · 2 days ago
"It's Christinith! Are you stupid or are you deaf?!"
- Clemptefr · 3 days ago
Next poll on Monday: Le Pen 57% – Philippe 43%. Mélenchon qualifies for the second round in every scenario.
- Bouba0 · 3 days ago
Do people realise that Melencho’s ahead of Philippe in the polls? He’s at 20% btw
As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC