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Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election?

No98%
Yes2%

Price checked at

24h volume$144.6K
7d volume$385.4K
30d volume$385.4K
Liquidity$351.3K
Spread0%
ResolvesApr 19, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 9, 04:38 PMNov 10, 02:27 AMNov 10, 12:16 PMNov 10, 10:06 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

Read the full rules

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Venue activity

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Comments1.2K

Discussion on Predxy

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1,205 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • WhaleWatch-30805 · 7 hours ago

    tsihkodiives is holding 12756,81 USD on Marine Le Pen with outcome Yes. We go much deeper into the data behind moves like this

  • WhaleWatch-58726 · 9 hours ago

    flovertaco holds 22837,02 USD on Marine Le Pen outcome Yes. Profit: 6928,00 USD 💸. 15909,02 USD turned into 22837,02 USD.

  • imanedepumpfun2 · 9 hours ago

    Imane elle est riche toi t'es un kuffar sans argent wlh t'as aucune info retroune au french dream sale 3arbi

Show 17 more comments
  • LaQuica6 · 10 hours ago

    Iman je te jure tu te trompe complet tu vas voir, force a toi, tout est déja calculé héhé faut juste les infos

  • WhaleWatch-86913 · 10 hours ago

    BurstedBubble has a position on Marine Le Pen with 53020,13 USD and +22,43% in gains 💸. Their bet: 289378,32 USD on outcome Yes.

  • imanedepumpfun2 · 12 hours ago

    Je m'hydrate wallah je vais pouvoir acheter du bon vin avec mon argent

  • askolein · 13 hours ago

    hydratez vous quand même hein

  • imanedepumpfun2 · 13 hours ago

    Dans les commentaires y'a toute la lie de l'humanité tah nicolas avec un patrimoine de 20k eur qui vont rester en France, espèrent que le pays s'améliore et déclarent leurs gains pour ensuite se faire kidnapper par la dz mafia et les noirs de tiktok

  • Ditron3 · 13 hours ago

    Either way, nothing will change

  • BrrBrrPatapimm · 13 hours ago

    Le grand monarque, vous êtes pas prêts pour les vaisseaux en or de la vierge Marie sur le parking de l'élysée

  • askolein · 13 hours ago

    N'empêche que c'est risqué avec son histoire de justice, c'est pour ça qu'elle est pas à 60%+. Aussi pour ça que Bardella est à un 2% alors qu'il est pas candidat

  • askolein · 13 hours ago

    Je suis là pour perdre 1000€ sur des dingueries, pas pour faire 100€ de benef

  • askolein · 13 hours ago

    as a guy with a failing, terrible Attal bet, I can't see how we are going to even 5% lmao

  • Daggo1920 · 17 hours ago

    In a hypothetical second round match up between Le Pen and Melenchon, who will you be voting?

  • digix007 · 19 hours ago

    ATTAL has everything to be president. I'll go for attal. at least. he will reach second round. Let's see january how he steal the lisnard votes.

  • digix007 · 19 hours ago

    hahahha

  • Melanchonwin · 23 hours ago

    Tout le monde n a pas 25k à mettre sur des côtés à 1.1

  • imanedepumpfun2 · 23 hours ago

    des humains ont buy des yes sur autre chose que marine quand même alors que c'est obvious que c'est elle qui va passer jpp

  • rainbowlilies · 24 hours ago

    3rd from the bottom

  • adonpoli · yesterday

    why are you holding that much lisnard you can dm me on x

As of Nov 10, 10:09 PM UTC