PolymarketOpen

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?

No92%

Yes9%

Price checked at Sep 30, 10:06 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$12.3K

Spread5%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	Polymarket	85% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?	Polymarket	87% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?	Polymarket	90% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	Polymarket	89% No	$131.8	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	Polymarket	85% No	$124.4	—	—	Open
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	Polymarket	90% No	$5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders30

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

Krass84007526122463695269897823261867195671760778882545730574548053667393564200078
whatc4says21297929392777559334313058781068640304832418465176233510833746593282077281830
Limping-Jaguar21297929392777559334313058781068640304832418465176233510833746593282077281830
9df21297929392777559334313058781068640304832418465176233510833746593282077281830
0x619342ecf65a032965501486fea40de689d87c3821297929392777559334313058781068640304832418465176233510833746593282077281830

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL87%$54.611 days ago
SELL3%$0.712 days ago
BUY13%$7.8last month
BUY10%$1last month
BUY8%$22 months ago
BUY9%$12 months ago

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As of Sep 30, 10:48 AM UTC