Region

Latin America

Open questions about the countries of Latin America, across every venue Predxy indexes.

Today in Latin America

The heaviest questions

#QuestionMarket says24h change
01Brazil Presidential election winner?: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?21%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva2 pts
022026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Flavio Bolsonaro80%Yes3 pts
03Brazil Presidential election winner?: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PoliticsBrazilpriced by 2 of 3
79%Flávio Bolsonaro3 pts
042026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva22%Yes2 pts
05Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d'Or 2026?2%Yes0 pts
06Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?10%Yes8 pts
07New Mexico Governor Election Winner: Deb Haaland (D)95%Yes0 pts
08US strike on Cuba by December 31?10%Yes1 pts
09Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?8%Yes3 pts
10Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 3%? Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%38%Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%28 pts
11Cuban regime falls by: Dec 31
PoliticsCuba
12%Yes3 pts
12Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
PoliticsVenezuelapriced by 3 of 4
76%Nicolás Maduro1 pts
13Argentina Presidential Election Winner: Javier Milei58%Yes7 pts
14Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%? Lula da Silva, 3-6%3%Lula da Silva, 3-6%1 pts
15Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
PoliticsVenezuelapriced by 1 of 2
33%Yes9 pts
16Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%? Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%36%Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%0 pts
17IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 218,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 218,000 points18%At least 218,000 points5 pts
18Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25): Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026? Above 18094%Above 1800 pts
19IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 208,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 208,000 points61%At least 208,000 points8 pts
20New Mexico Governor winner?: Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Mexico Greggory D. Hull5%Greggory D. Hull2 pts
21Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 3%? Lula da Silva, 0-3%17%Lula da Silva, 0-3%2 pts
22Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 6% and 9%? Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%9%Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%4 pts
23Will Flamengo win the Copa Libertadores?11%Flamengo5 pts
24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?39%Yes2 pts
25Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?6%Yes1 pts
26Who will win in the upcoming football event North Dakota State vs New Mexico scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:00 AM UTC?63%Lobos0 pts
27IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026: IBOVESPA closes at least 194,000 on Oct 26, 2026 At least 194,000 points78%At least 194,000 points2 pts
28Will Club Leon FC win against Deportivo Toluca FC in the Liga MX match scheduled for Oct 24, 2026?26%Yes1 pts
29Brazil inflation rate in October: Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.90% in Oct 2026?18%Above 4.90%2 pts
30How high will USD/MXN get before 2027?: Will USD/MXN exceed 21 before Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM EST? Above 219%Above 21—
31Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?59%Yes1 pts
32Brazil Presidential Election Second Round Margin of Victory: Flavio Bolsonaro 0-4%50%Yes4 pts
33Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?31%Yes2 pts
34Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?21%Yes8 pts
35Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent: Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?44%At least 52%6 pts
36US strike on Colombia by December 31?26%Yes1 pts
37Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 170
UnclassifiedPanama
95%Above 170—
38Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 4%? Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%32%Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%6 pts
39Will CF America win against CF Pachuca in the Liga MX match scheduled for Oct 25, 2026?63%Yes0 pts
40Argentina Presidential Election Winner: Axel Kicillof30%Yes0 pts
41Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1): Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Above 180
UnclassifiedPanama
87%Above 180—
42U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?4%Yes1 pts
43Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?69%Yes2 pts
44New Mexico Attorney General winner?: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in New Mexico? Raúl Torrez97%Raúl Torrez1 pts
45New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner: Bruce Blakeman (R)72%Yes1 pts
46New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)23%Yes1 pts
47Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?21%Yes3 pts
48Brazil inflation rate in October: Will inflation in Brazil be above 4.70% in Oct 2026?62%Above 4.70%17 pts
49Will CF Monterrey win against CD Guadalajara in the Liga MX match scheduled for Oct 24, 2026?39%Yes0 pts
50Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
PoliticsArgentinapriced by 1 of 2
2%Yes2 pts