Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 3%? Lula da Silva, 0-3%
17%Lula da Silva, 0-3%
2 ptsover 24h
The field · 8 outcomes
24h volume$5.6K
Total volume$24.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 25, 2027next year
First seenOct 6, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18¢ | 556 | $556 | +$456 5.6× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 3%? Lula da Silva, 0-3%83% No$5.6K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 01:17 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.