Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

7%xAI

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 12 outcomes

24h volume$48

Total volume$108.6K

Liquidity$12

Open interest$38.5K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 2, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	6¢	1,667	$1,667	+$1,567 16.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
93% No$48 24h volume
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Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in AI