Loading…
Predxy

Search

Type at least two characters.

Economy

Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference?

42%Yes
8 ptsover 24h

The field · 20 outcomes

  1. Good Day94%0
  2. Good Question84%9
  3. CapEx / Capital Expenditure73%4
  4. Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas73%11
  5. Price 30+ times72%6
  6. President / Trump70%4
  7. Pressure / Stagflation69%6
  8. Conflict / Middle East64%6
  9. Inflation 20+ times47%1
  10. AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times46%1
  11. Payroll · this question42%8
  12. SI / Super Intelligence32%8
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 4 days
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Up 20 points on Oct 15
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket55¢182$182+$81.82 1.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Economy

View category
  1. 1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    95%Yes2 pts
  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    6%Yes2 pts
  3. 3Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
    93%Fed maintains rate1 pts
  4. 4Fed Decision in October — No change
    93%Yes1 pts
  5. 5Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?
    94%Yes2 pts

As of Oct 24, 01:54 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.