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Economy

Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference?

73%Yes
11 ptsover 24h

The field · 20 outcomes

  1. Good Day94%0
  2. Good Question85%8
  3. CapEx / Capital Expenditure74%3
  4. Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas · this question73%11
  5. Price 30+ times72%6
  6. President / Trump72%7
  7. Pressure / Stagflation70%5
  8. Conflict / Middle East64%6
  9. Inflation 20+ times47%1
  10. AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times46%0
  11. Payroll38%4
  12. SI / Super Intelligence32%6
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 4 days
First seenOct 14, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Down 32 points on Oct 15Up 10 points on Oct 16Up 9 points on Oct 19Down 14 points on Oct 22Up 9 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket90¢111$111+$11.11 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Economy

View category
  1. 1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    95%Yes3 pts
  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    6%Yes2 pts
  3. 3Fed Decision in October — No change
    93%Yes1 pts
  4. 4Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?
    94%Yes2 pts
  5. 5Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
    93%Fed maintains rate0 pts

As of Oct 24, 02:57 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.