Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

48%Yes
21 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$150.7K
Total volume$4.1M
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 29 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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    51%Yes20 pts
  2. 2Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
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  3. 3Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?
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  4. 4Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee raise The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?
    49%Yes20 pts
  5. 5How many Fed rate cuts in 2026 — 0 (0 bps)
    71%Yes0 pts

As of Sep 29, 07:50 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.