Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 1.5%?

17%Yes

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

24h volume$1.1K

Total volume$3.8K

Liquidity$1.3K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 29, 2027in 3 months

First seenOct 29, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	19¢	526	$526	+$426 5.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

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Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 1.5%?
83% No$1.1K 24h volume
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Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 1.5%?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Technology