Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?

16%Yes
6 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. 8-1133%3
  2. 4-730%11
  3. <4 · this question16%6
  4. 12-1514%1
  5. 16+8%2
24h volume$80
Total volume$310
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 8 days
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 06:27 PMOct 23, 01:09 PMOct 24, 07:52 AMOct 25, 02:35 AM

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket21¢476$476+$376 4.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 25, 02:44 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.