Will UKMTO publish 16 or more notices between October 26-November 1?

8%Yes
2 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. 4-737%0
  2. 8-1133%4
  3. 12-1516%3
  4. <411%1
  5. 16+ · this question8%2
24h volume$125
Total volume$461
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 8 days
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 06:27 PMOct 23, 02:22 PMOct 24, 10:17 AMOct 25, 06:13 AM

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket9¢1,111$1,111+$1,011 11.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 25, 06:31 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.