Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?

33%Yes
3 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. 4-737%2
  2. 8-11 · this question33%3
  3. 12-1516%3
  4. <411%1
  5. 16+8%2
24h volume$504
Total volume$1.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 8 days
First seenOct 22, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 22, 06:27 PMOct 23, 02:56 PMOct 24, 11:25 AMOct 25, 07:54 AM

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket34¢294$294+$194 2.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 25, 08:21 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.