Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Nov 1, 2026? Above 38.7%

34%Above 38.7%

—over 24h

The field · 9 outcomes

24h volume$44.3K

Total volume$44.3K

Liquidity$39

Open interest$28.5K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 6 hours

First seenNov 1, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	25¢	400	$400	+$300 4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Nov 1, 2026? Above 38.7%
75% No$44.3K 24h volume
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Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Nov 1, 2026? Above 38.7%

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics