PxLoading…
PxPredxyThe market index for what happens next.
TodayTop 100Midterm Elections 2026VenuesCalendar
Events
Premier League 2026-2027Champions League 2026-2027Formula 1 (F1)Midterm Elections 2026All events
Categories
PoliticsEconomyMarketsCryptoTechnologyAISportsWorldScienceCulture

Search

Type at least two characters.

Watchlist
TodayTop 100Midterm Elections 2026VenuesCalendarWatchlistEventsCategories
Politics

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be less than 250,000?

10%Yes
↓8 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

  1. 350K-400K40%↓1
  2. 300K-350K36%↑11
  3. 400K-450K18%↓9
  4. <250K · this question10%↓8
  5. 450K+5%→0
  6. 250K-300K4%↓1
24h volume$20
Total volume$1.9K
Liquidity$1.9K
Open interest—
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 01:44 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.05B24h vol:$272.9MQuestions:365,516Resolving today:2,519Venues:15
Fear & Greed~54 · NeutralLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 17Oct 2Oct 17Nov 1Down 16 points on Sep 3Down 11 points on Sep 4Down 16 points on Sep 6Up 10 points on Oct 22Down 9 points on Nov 1
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket17.9¢559$559+$459 5.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Polymarket
    Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be less than 250,000?
    90% No$20 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

More in Politics

View category →
  1. 1Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton
    32%Ken Paxton↑2 pts
  2. 2Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)
    32%Yes↑2 pts
  3. 3U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party
    94%Yes→0 pts
  4. 42026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? R-House, R-Senate
    7%Republicans sweep↑1 pts
  5. 5Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
    25%Yes→0 pts
PxPredxy

Newspapers rank stories through editors. Social media ranks them through engagement. Predxy ranks questions through markets: the same question on every venue, collapsed into one number, ordered by the money at risk.

Market prices are not certainties.

Announcements

A short note when something changes: a new venue, a new shelf, the API opening. Double opt-in, one click to leave.

Sitemap

Today's editionTop 100The state of prediction marketsPrice gaps between venuesResolution calendarVenues and rankingBrowse marketsBlog

Support

Contact supportHow it worksAPI for developersFeedback

Legal

Terms and conditionsPrivacy noticeCookiesCredits

Socials

  • X
  • GitHub

Featured on

  • Featured on LaunchPoly
Language
Your country
© 2026 PREDXYbuild 62d1a1685c1b