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Predxy

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Economy

Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?

8%Exactly 3
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

  1. Exactly 271%2
  2. Exactly 123%1
  3. Exactly 3 · this question8%0
  4. At least 42%1
24h volume$268
Total volume$85.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 16, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Sep 25Oct 5Oct 15Oct 25Down 9 points on Sep 17Down 9 points on Sep 24Up 12 points on Sep 29Up 12 points on Sep 30Up 8 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi9¢1,111$1,111+$1,011 11.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in Economy

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  1. 1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    96%Yes2 pts
  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
    5%Yes2 pts
  3. 3Fed Decision in October — No change
    94%Yes1 pts
  4. 4Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate
    93%Fed maintains rate0 pts
  5. 5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
    77%Yes3 pts

As of Oct 25, 04:34 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.