Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?
24%Exactly 1
1 ptsover 24h
The field · 4 outcomes
24h volume$2.2K
Total volume$175.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 16, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24¢ | 417 | $417 | +$317 4.2× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?: Will there be exactly 1 Fed rate hike in 2026?76% No$2.2K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Economy
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- 3Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate92%Fed maintains rate1 pts
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- 5Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?93%Yes1 pts
As of Oct 24, 12:05 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.