UnclassifiedUnited States

Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher?

53%Yes

4 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

24h volume$35

Total volume$1.1K

Liquidity$205

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesMay 1, 2027in 6 months

First seenOct 28, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	67¢	149	$149	+$49.25 1.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

stale
Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher?
53% Yes$35 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 10:18 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.