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Economy🇺🇸United StatesUnited States

Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in October?

14%Yes
↓1 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

  1. 100k+32%↑5
  2. 25k to 50k · this question14%↓1
  3. 75k to 100k13%↓9
  4. 50k to 75k13%↓8
  5. 0 to 25k8%↓13
  6. -25k to 06%↓2
  7. <-25k4%→0
24h volume$1.5K
Total volume$3.2K
Liquidity$1.6K
Open interest—
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 7, 2026in 6 days
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 11:55 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.08B24h vol:$296.3MQuestions:360,381Resolving today:2,173Venues:15
Fear & Greed~53 · NeutralLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 10Oct 17Oct 24Nov 1Up 11 points on Oct 4
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket15¢667$667+$567 6.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Polymarket
    Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in October?
    86% No$1.5K 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

More in Economy

View category →
  1. 1Another Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
    73%Yes→0 pts
  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
    2%Yes→0 pts
  3. 3Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
    28%Yes↓1 pts
  4. 4Fed Decision in December: 25 bps Increase
    71%Yes→0 pts
  5. 5US gas prices on Election Day: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.05? Above 4.05
    98%Above 4.05→0 pts
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Market prices are not certainties.

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