UnclassifiedUnited States

Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin?: Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 1, 2028?

18%Before Jan 1, 2028

7 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

24h volume$6

Total volume$314

Liquidity$0

Open interest$194

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 8, 2028next year

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	19¢	526	$526	+$426 5.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin?: Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 1, 2028?
82% No$6 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 04:54 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.