Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?

57%Yes

0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 2 outcomes

24h volume$774From 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$110KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Liquidity$80.9KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Open interest—

Markets22 venues, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
Best payout	56.4¢*	177	$177	+$77.30 1.8×
	57¢	175	$175	+$75.44 1.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
57% Yes$774 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
56% Yesno volume published
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

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Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics