Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?

7%Yes

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 8 outcomes

24h volume$2690 trades

Total volume$2.5K

Liquidity$29.9K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 4, 2026tomorrow

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	7.7¢	1,299	$1,299	+$1,199 13×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?
93% No$269 24h volume
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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics