Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?
2%Yes
1 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$111.5
Total volume$1.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 23, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?98% No$111.5 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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- 3Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?4%Yes0 pts
- 4Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?22%Yes1 pts
- 5 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?10%Yes4 pts
As of Sep 29, 09:40 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.