Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 19, 2026?

25%Yes

16 ptsover 24h

The field · 31 outcomes

24h volume$99

Total volume$390

Liquidity$338

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 20, 2026in 18 days

First seenOct 28, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	51¢	196	$196	+$96.08 2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 19, 2026?
75% No$99 24h volume
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Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 19, 2026?

Probability history

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Probability history

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