Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

3%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

24h volume$11

Total volume$1.3K

Liquidity$2.2K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 7 days

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	6.1¢	1,639	$1,639	+$1,539 16.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
97% No$11 24h volume
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Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics