Will the minimum temperature be <43° on Oct 31, 2026? 42° or below

1%42° or below

13 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

24h volume$1.2K

Total volume$1.5K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 6 hours

First seenOct 30, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	1¢*	10,000	$10,000	+$9,900 100×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the minimum temperature be <43° on Oct 31, 2026? 42° or below
99% No$1.2K 24h volume
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Will the minimum temperature be <43° on Oct 31, 2026? 42° or below

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Science