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Science

Will the maximum temperature be 81-82° on Nov 1, 2026? 81° to 82°

4%81° to 82°
—over 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

  1. 85° to 86°58%—
  2. 83° to 84°32%—
  3. 87° to 88°5%—
  4. 80° or below4%—
  5. 81° to 82° · this question4%—
  6. 89° or above1%—
24h volume$368
Total volume$373
Liquidity$3
Open interest$343
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 2, 2026tomorrow
First seenNov 1, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 12:55 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.05B24h vol:$272MQuestions:360,002Resolving today:2,491Venues:15
Fear & Greed~54 · NeutralLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 1, 04:01 AMNov 1, 06:59 AMNov 1, 09:56 AMNov 1, 12:54 PM

No recorded data before Nov 1 in this window.

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi4¢2,500$2,500+$2,400 25×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Kalshi
    Will the maximum temperature be 81-82° on Nov 1, 2026? 81° to 82°
    96% No$368 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

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Newspapers rank stories through editors. Social media ranks them through engagement. Predxy ranks questions through markets: the same question on every venue, collapsed into one number, ordered by the money at risk.

Market prices are not certainties.

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