Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?

30%Yes

3 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

24h volume$481

Total volume$16.2K

Liquidity$3.2K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesDec 2, 2026next month

First seenSep 22, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

What happened

Sep 19, 2026A USACE rivergages snapshot showed the river at 6.06 ft. National Weather Service
Sep 23, 2026Mississippi River water surface elevation at Baton Rouge was 7.02 feet. Mississippi River At Baton Rouge, La Water Level Today
Sep 27, 2026Mississippi River stage reading at Baton Rouge was 6.76 feet. USGS Current Conditions for USGS 07374000 Mississippi River at Baton Rouge, LA
Oct 6, 2026NOAA's Baton Rouge gauge page was last updated and listed no watches or warnings. Mississippi River at Baton Rouge
Oct 10, 2026Baton Rouge was reported at 6.7 ft at 1400Z. National Weather Service

Coming up

Nov 30, 2026Resolution date for whether the lowest river level at Baton Rouge reaches 6.00 feet or more. USGS Current Conditions for USGS 07374000 Mississippi River at Baton Rouge, LA

Dated from the reporting the question's context cites, and placed alongside the price — never as the reason it moved. Written by AI from cited sources; in English.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	32.1¢	312	$312	+$212 3.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?
70% No$481 24h volume
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Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

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Probability history

What happened

Coming up

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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