Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by October 31?

0%Yes

4 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

24h volume$463

Total volume$1.6K

Liquidity$11.7K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 1, 202614 hours ago

First seenOct 1, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	0.1¢	100,000	$100,000	+$99,900 1,000×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by October 31?
100% No$463 24h volume
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Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by October 31?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics