Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 11?

4%Yes

6 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

ResolvesNov 11, 2026 · in 14 hours

The field · 11 outcomes

24h volume$74830 trades on 1 of 2 venues · From 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$859From 1 of 2 venues

Liquidity$1KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Open interest—

Markets: 2 · 2 venues, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 9, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 11?
94% Nono volume publishedResolution rules
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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 11?
96% No$748 24h volumeResolution rules
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If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
Best payout	4.9¢	2,041	$2,041	+$1,941 20.4×
	6¢*	1,667	$1,667	+$1,567 16.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 10:24 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 11?

Probability history

Where this question trades

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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