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Economy

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?

11%Yes
↑1 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. No change57%→0
  2. 25 bps increase27%→0
  3. 25 bps decrease · this question11%↑1
  4. 50+ bps decrease7%↓1
  5. 50+ bps increase3%↓1
24h volume$494
Total volume$1.5K
Liquidity$15.1K
Open interest—
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesApr 28, 2027in 6 months
First seenOct 28, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 09:25 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.09B24h vol:$321.6MQuestions:394,172Resolving today:2,047Venues:15
Fear & Greed~57 · GreedLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Down 8 points on Oct 29
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket12¢833$833+$733 8.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Polymarket
    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?
    90% No$494 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

More in Economy

View category →
  1. 1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
    2%Yes→0 pts
  2. 2Another Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
    73%Yes→0 pts
  3. 3Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
    28%Yes↓1 pts
  4. 4Fed Decision in December: 25 bps Increase
    71%Yes→0 pts
  5. 5US gas prices on Election Day: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.05? Above 4.05
    96%Above 4.05↓2 pts
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Newspapers rank stories through editors. Social media ranks them through engagement. Predxy ranks questions through markets: the same question on every venue, collapsed into one number, ordered by the money at risk.

Market prices are not certainties.

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