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Politics🇺🇸United StatesUnited States

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?

2%Yes
↓1 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. Vince Fong (R)98%↑2
  2. Sandra Van Scotter (D) · this question2%↓1
24h volume$210
Total volume$21.5K
Liquidity$44.9K
Open interest—
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
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As of Nov 1, 10:22 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.06B24h vol:$289.5MQuestions:355,393Resolving today:2,143Venues:15
Fear & Greed56 · GreedLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history
Open the market →

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 17Oct 2Oct 17Nov 1

No recorded data before Sep 22 in this window.

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket3.5¢2,857$2,857+$2,757 28.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Polymarket
    Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?
    98% No$210 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

More in Politics

View category →
  1. 1Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton
    32%Ken Paxton↑2 pts
  2. 2Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)
    32%Yes↑2 pts
  3. 3U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party
    94%Yes→0 pts
  4. 42026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? R-House, R-Senate
    7%Republicans sweep↑1 pts
  5. 5Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
    25%Yes→0 pts
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Market prices are not certainties.

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