Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?

13%Yes

7 ptsover 24h

The field · 10 outcomes

24h volume$20

Total volume$1.1K

Liquidity$11.2K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	13.3¢	752	$752	+$652 7.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?
87% No$20 24h volume
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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics