2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Raphael Warnock be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
4%Raphael Warnock
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
24h volume$133.9
Total volume$88.5K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill Raphael Warnock be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?97% No$133.9 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketWill Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?96% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 10:14 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.