Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 4, 2026?

17%Before Dec 4, 2026

21 ptsover 24h

ResolvesDec 4, 2026 · in 24 days

The field · 9 outcomes

24h volume$210

Total volume$210

Liquidity$0

Open interest$200

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 9, 2026
Watching: 0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 4, 2026?
83% No$210 24h volumeResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	39¢	256	$256	+$156 2.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 11:16 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 4, 2026?

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