Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

67%Yes

8 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

24h volume$890 trades

Total volume$2.3K

Liquidity$115

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesOct 28, 20266 days ago

First seenOct 19, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	99.7¢	100	$100	+$0.30 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
67% Yes$89 24h volume
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Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics