Will New Zealand win on 2026-11-12?

73%New Zealand

1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues

ResolvesNov 12, 2026 · tomorrow

The field · 3 outcomes

24h volume$2.7K28 trades on 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$3.3K

Liquidity$4.2K

Open interest$1.5KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Markets: 2 · 2 venues, 2 priced
First seen: Oct 29, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will New Zealand win on 2026-11-12?
73% Yes$1.7K 24h volumeResolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
New Zealand wins
74% New Zealand$1K 24h volumeResolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	74¢	135	$135	+$35.14 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 09:09 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Will New Zealand win on 2026-11-12?

Probability history

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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