Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

3%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 3 venues
24h volume$51.3
Total volume$6.8K
Markets33 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 17Sep 24Oct 2

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? Gemini
    38%Gemini4 pts
  2. 2Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    64%Yes9 pts
  3. 3Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    37%Yes11 pts
  4. 4Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
    54%Yes15 pts
  5. 5Best AI at the end of 2026?: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? ChatGPT
    10%ChatGPT0 pts

As of Oct 2, 04:33 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.