Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

3%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 9 outcomes

24h volume$0From 0 of 1 venue

Total volume$3.9KFrom 0 of 1 venue

Liquidity$21.3K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	4.1¢	2,439	$2,439	+$2,339 24.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
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Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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