Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
21%Yes
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 3 venues
24h volume$3.9K
Total volume$15.4M
Markets33 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
3 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Predict.funWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?79% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- PolymarketWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?79% No$3.9K 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
- GeminiWho will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance79% Nono volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 11:52 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.