Will it rain in Napa on Election Day?

92%Napa

6 ptsover 24h

The field · 49 outcomes

24h volume$969

Total volume$971

Liquidity$0

Open interest$871

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 2 days

First seenNov 1, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	87¢	115	$115	+$14.94 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will it rain in Napa on Election Day?
92% Napa$969 24h volume
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Will it rain in Napa on Election Day?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics