Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?

9%Yes
9 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. November 3017%10
  2. October 31 · this question9%9
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 7 days
First seenSep 16, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Sep 26Oct 6Oct 15Oct 25Down 20 points on Sep 17Up 16 points on Sep 20Down 16 points on Sep 21Down 14 points on Sep 22Down 14 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket12¢833$833+$733 8.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  4. 4US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
    8%Yes1 pts
  5. 5NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
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As of Oct 25, 04:49 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.