Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?

17%Yes
10 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. November 30 · this question17%10
  2. October 319%9
24h volume$366
Total volume$4.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 19Oct 25Up 11 points on Oct 1Down 22 points on Oct 10Up 12 points on Oct 18Down 12 points on Oct 23Up 10 points on Oct 24
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket17¢588$588+$488 5.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 03:47 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.