Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?

3%Yes

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 16 outcomes

24h volume$475

Total volume$21.7K

Liquidity$23.4K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	3.2¢	3,125	$3,125	+$3,025 31.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?
97% No$475 24h volume
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Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics