Will exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?

36%5

11 ptsover 24h

The field · 10 outcomes

24h volume$224

Total volume$19.9K

Liquidity$0

Open interest$10.1K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	37¢	270	$270	+$170 2.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
64% No$224 24h volume
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Will exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Technology