Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

30%Yes

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 22 outcomes

24h volume$1.5K10 trades

Total volume$2.4K

Liquidity$3.7K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 4 months

First seenOct 13, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	30¢	333	$333	+$233 3.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
71% No$1.5K 24h volume
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As of Nov 2, 05:37 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.