UnclassifiedUnited States

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

15%Yes

8 ptsover 24h

The field · 15 outcomes

24h volume$20.5K

Total volume$57.4K

Liquidity$9K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 2 days

First seenOct 24, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	15.2¢	658	$658	+$558 6.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
85% No$20.5K 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 10:44 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.