UnclassifiedUnited States

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?

2%Yes

—over 24h

The field · 10 outcomes

24h volume$1.4K

Total volume$1.4K

Liquidity$1.8K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days

First seenOct 31, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

No recorded data before Oct 31 in this window.

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	1.9¢	5,263	$5,263	+$5,163 52.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?
98% No$1.4K 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

As of Nov 1, 12:03 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.