Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?

41%Yes

6 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

24h volume$287

Total volume$4.9K

Liquidity$2K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2029in 2 years

First seenSep 9, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	41¢	244	$244	+$144 2.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?
60% No$287 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 01:42 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.