Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?

3%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

24h volume$0From 0 of 1 venue

Total volume$0From 0 of 1 venue

Liquidity$447

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 8 months

First seenSep 24, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	5.1¢	1,961	$1,961	+$1,861 19.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
97% Nono volume published
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Search

Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in AI

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in AI